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August 30, 2008
The Vice-Presidential Selections
They're both in now:
Senator John McCain has chosen Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin as his running mate
And Senator Barack Obama has chosen Delaware Senator Joe Biden as his.
Here's what I think about each:
First, unless you've never been to this blog you should know that I'm a conservative Republican. So of course I'm not going to pretend that I'm some neutral observer. I couldn't imagine voting for Obama no matter who he picked, and I would end up voting for McCain no matter who he picked. Further, since so much has been said elsewhere I'm not going to go into the respective nominees backgrounds or accomplishments.
That said...
Gov. Sarah Palin
Palin was an inspired if risky choice. She brings energy and enthusiasm to the conservative base of the party, which was much needed. There was a lot of nervousness that McCain was going to pick someone who was pro-choice, and indeed according to one report that I deem fairly reliable, almost did pick Joe Lieberman. The word from my family as well as local party members has been one of universal acclaim.
On the upside, she is a no-nonsense conservative; pro-life, pro-gun (lifetime NRA member!), small government, pro-drilling, and from what I can tell so far, hawkish on foreign policy. Best of all she is a genuine reformer who challenged her own party on issues of corruption and spending and won her battles hands down. She is immensely popular in Alaska. She is a governor, which means executive experience.
Selecting her means that McCain can still credibly to be more about change than Obama and Biden. He has a record of "reaching across the isle" while Obama has none, and Palin has a record of fighting corruption within her own party, while neither Obama or Biden have any accomplishments here either.
She's the one selection that can bring over disaffected Hillary supporters, and women in general who were unsure about McCain (having "old white guy" syndrome).
On the personal side, she doesn't just talk the talk, she walks the walk. She hunts and fishes ("baits her own hook" as we guys like to say), has a large family and refused to abort a child with Down syndrome. One of her sons is in the Army and is schedule to be deployed to Iraq this Sept 11. So far, she comes across as smart and articulate.
The choice also buried Obama's convention speech, something that a less-inspired choice would not have done.
On the downside, she's only been in office since 2006. That's less time than Sen Obama, who won his seat in the 2004 elections (taking office then in January of 2005). The Obama camp is gleefully throwing the "no experience" charge back at John McCain. We can point out that she has more executive experience than Obama and Biden combined (as does McCain, from his time in the Navy). We can also say that she has actual accomplishments under her belt, which again is more than Obama can say (whose only "accomplishment" is the self-glorification of getting himself nominated). But the fact is that she's not been in office even two years.
We also have to hold our breath that there is nothing in her closet that will come out to haunt us. The last thing John McCain needs is a Thomas Eagleton affair. I don't think it's very likely, but it is a risk.
Let's also face it; it's hard to imagine her being selected if she was a white male. But if the liberals want to pick that fight, we'll just point out that it's hard to imagine Obama being selected if he was a white guy. I think Geraldine Ferraro was mostly correct with her controversial comments of earlier this year.
Most importantly, she has to perform on the stump and her margin for error is paper-thin. A few gaffs and the media will tag her as "the new Dan Quayle."
Sen. Joe Biden
If Palin was "inspired but risky", then Biden is "boring but safe." Joe Biden is a Washington fixture that is known to everyone. There is nothing in his background that we don't know.
On the upside for the Democrats, Biden has experience. He's been a U.S. Senator since 1973, and as such has dealt with every issue under the sun. He's also smart and articulate, and will make the case well for himself and Obama.
On the downside, he's a walking gaff machine. He has foot-in-mouth disease and will no doubt provide much fodder this campaign. Further, he is another senator, which means no executive experience. He is just as liberal as Obama, and it's hard if not impossible for them to argue that they represent anything other than the most left part of the Democrat party line. Neither have much if any record of "reaching across the isle." Lastly, as the ultimate Washington insider, Biden can hardly preach much about change or reform (though he will try).
All in All
All choices have their upsides and their downsides. No one in either party is completely happy with their candidate. Democrats surely wish that Obama had more experience, and had never gone to Trinity United or knew William Ayers. Most also probably wish that he'd made a more inspired choice than Joe Biden. Republicans wish that McCain was more of a mainstream conservative and that Palin was a second term governor.
But we have what we have. Palin will prove to be either a brilliant choice or a complete flop. I doubt there will be much middle ground. I think it'll be the former, but am holding my breath against the latter. She could be the half of the ticket that propels him to victory.
Posted by Tom at August 30, 2008 9:00 PM
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Comments
Tom
Good analysis. I'm hyped...
Now let's see how many dead people the commies can get to vote for Obama/Biden.
Some other observations...
1. Biden is a pompous douche.
2. Biden + Obama = one and a half crackers
3. Sarah is hot, whereas Hillary is just a frumpy old hag. Give Hill a few more years and you get Helen Thomas or Madeline Albright.
4. No lawyers for president.
Posted by: jd at August 30, 2008 9:42 PM
snake hunter sez,
PUMA, a mountain lion, usa.
P.U.M.A, a bunch of very unhappy ladies that feel
their nominee Got The "MoveOnDotOrg Shaft"! Watch Out! p*ARTY*Unity*mY*aSS !
www.puma08.com ~ www.hillaryis44.com
Posted by: Ralph E. at August 31, 2008 10:37 PM
Biden is another of those old Senate warhorses that nearly everyone in the country is tired of hearing about.
Had McCain picked someone like that it would be ho hum or worse from his own party and nothing but attacks from the Dems.
We'll get the attacks anyway with Palin, but at least we've got an energized party, myself included, who are so thankful for someone new, someone genuine. There is nothing contrived about Sarah Palin.
Posted by: Mike's America
at August 31, 2008 11:07 PM
Good analysis Tom. As you say, Palin's margin of error is razor-thin. I just checked out a number of Belgian online news sites and their no.1 point on the US, Gustav not counting, is the Palin's daughter teen pregnancy and... the allegation that Trig is not her own child.
Of course, over here they are dead scared that the McCain/Palin ticket might win. You should have seen how, over the past months, they hyped Obama.
Posted by: Outlaw Mike at September 1, 2008 6:04 PM
You know how I feel about McCain's pick of Palin, completely ecstatic. McCain picking her has completely changed the dynamic of the race. Instead of getting a small portion of the conservative base who would've been holding their noses while voting. He now gains almost the entire conservative base who are actually excited now and will even campaign for him.
As for Biden, I honestly think that he was a HUGE mistake. Obama needed to also pick a Governor, not another senator who is just as extremely liberal as him. And to pick someone who is a walking gaffe machine is insane. His campaign already has ulcers worrying about what Michelle Obama and Rev. Wright will say, the last thing they need is to have someone even more prone to gaffes. But it works well for our side. I think Bayh, Richardson or Kathleen Sebelius would've been much better choices, IMHO.
Posted by: Dee
at September 1, 2008 11:53 PM



